Service Plays Sunday 08/16/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim..

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, AUGUST 16


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Philadelphia (65-49) at Atlanta (61-55)

The Phillies send left-hander J.A. Happ (8-2, 2.75 ERA) to the mound for the rubber match of a series against the Braves, who will counter with Javier Vazquez (10-7, 2.90) at Turner Field.

After scoring a 3-2 win on Friday, Philadelphia closer Brad Lidge blew his eighth save of the season on Saturday, allowing two runs in the bottom of the ninth as the Braves rallied for a 4-3 win. Even with the loss, the Phillies are 10-4 in their last 14 trips to Atlanta, but the Braves have won six of the last seven overall meetings between these two and eight of 11 this season.

Philadelphia remains on runs of 8-3 against the N.L. East, 21-9 against right-handed starters, 4-1 on the road, 35-18 on the road against teams with a winning record and 70-33 on Sundays. Atlanta is on positive streaks of 6-1 overall, 14-5 at home, 5-1 against southpaws and 11-5 as a home chalk.

Happ is 4-1 on the road this season with a 1.84 ERA, and in his last three games he’s posted a 1.71 ERA. He allowed two runs in six innings on Tuesday at Chicago, getting a no-decision in his team’s 4-3, 10-inning victory. Only once in his last 10 starts has Happ allowed more than three runs, including back on July 2 when he held these Braves to two runs on seven hits in seven innings, but his offense let him down in the 5-2 loss

In three career starts against Atlanta, Happ has allowed four runs in 19 2/3 innings (1.83 ERA). Finally, Philadelphia is 5-2 in Happ’s last seven starts against N.L. East competition and 4-1 in his last five against teams with winning records.

Vazquez is 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA in his last three outings, but this is his first home start since July 19. Atlanta is unbeaten in Vazquez’s last seven outings, including an 8-2 win in Los Angeles a week ago today. The veteran right-hander has already faced these Phillies three times this season, winning two and allowing a combined seven runs in 19 innings (3.32 ERA). The Braves are on runs of 6-0 when Vazquez starts as a favorite, 4-0 when he faces the N.L. East rivals and 5-0 when he battles teams with winning records.

With Happ on the mound, the Phillies are on “under” runs of 6-2 as a ‘dog, 4-0 on the road and 15-3-1 overall, while as a team, Philadelphia has stayed below the total in 10 of 13 road games, 9 of 12 against the N.L. East and nine of 10 on the road against right-handed starters. With Vazquez on the bump, the Braves are on “under” streaks of 5-0-1 at home and 8-3-1 against teams with winning records.

Finally, the under is 5-1-1 in the last seven clashes in this divisional rivalry, all played at Turner Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (66-50) at Texas (65-50)

The top two teams battling it out for the A.L. wild-card wrap up a three-game set at Rangers Ballpark as the Red Sox send right-hander Junichi Tazawa (1-1, 4.05 ERA) to the mound opposite Rangers righty Dustin Nippers (3-1, 3.62).

Texas scored a 7-2 victory Saturday night after allowing Boston to steal Friday’s game 8-4 with a six-run ninth inning. The Rangers have won six of eight against the Red Sox this season, including four of five in Texas.

Terry Francona’s squad continues to struggle, currently on slides of 1-7 on the road, 4-10 against teams with winning records, 4-8 overall and 2-11 on the road against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Rangers are on runs of 10-3 at home, 12-4 against winning teams, 10-2 as a favorite, 8-0 as a home chalk, 4-0 on Sundays and 8-1 against A.L. East competition.

Tazawa made the first start of his career on Tuesday at home against the Tigers and gave up three runs (one earned) in five innings, striking out six and walking two, and the Red Sox rewarded him with the 7-5 victory.

Nippert is 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA at home this season and made his last home outing against these Red Sox on July 22 when he gave up one run on five hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 3-1 Texas victory. In his five starts this season, Nipper has allowed three runs or less four times, but the Rangers are just 2-3 in those five outings.

Boston has gone over the posted total in five of six against A.L. West teams and four of six against teams with winning records, but the Red Sox are on “under” runs of 12-5 on the road, 19-8-1 on the highway against right-handed starters, 17-5-1 as a ‘dog and 12-3 as a road ‘dog. Texas is on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 4-0 when Nippert starts, 37-17-5 on Sundays, 38-14-2 at home, 44-16-2 overall, 26-7-2 as a favorite, 12-2 against the A.L. East and 23-4-1 as a home favorite. Finally, in this series, the “under” is on runs of 8-1 overall, including 5-1 in Arlington.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL


SUNDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 407-408: Hamilton at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 108.868; Saskatchewan 112.156
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 5 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+5 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET


Week 7

Sunday, August 16


HAMILTON (4 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 3) - 8/16/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP

Week 7 CFL games

Sunday, August 16

Hamilton (4-2) @ Saskatchewan (3-3)-- Roughriders allowed 35+ points in four of last five games, losing three of last four; they're 1-2 at home, giving up 81 points in losing last two, to Montreal/Edmonton. Spunky TiCats won four of last five games (5-0 vs spread), with last four going under total; they're 2-0 as road dog, winning 31-28 at BC, losing 21-8 at Montreal. TiCats are 4-0 when they get 2+ takeaways, 0-2 when they don't. Saskatchewan has 18 giveaways in its six games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR SUNDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Toronto (Rzepczynski)

TAMPA BAY (GARZA) -175 (1)



Colorado (De La Rosa)

FLORIDA (VOLSTAD) -125 (2)



SAN DIEGO (RICHARD) +170 (3)

St. Louis (Lohse)



Run Totals

Colorado / Florida OVER 9 ½

Toronto / Tampa Bay OVER 8 ½

Angels / Baltimore OVER 10 ½

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Royals Saturday night.

Today it's the Royals. The surplus is 910 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 16, 2009

Hondo bounced back from Friday night's double- draino with an uplifting sweep last night, scoring with the Giants and Rangers to slash the deficit to 435 ble farys.

Today, he'll stick with Texas and add the Angels and Phillies to his investment portfolio -- 10 units apiece.

 

[bigduke]

Born2Booze are you going to post plays today.

Destroy the book sports was great yesterday

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

St Bernadine Sports
"Big Time" 6-0 last 2 days

Cubs -300
Cubs -1.5 (-140)
Cleavland +135
Tampa Bay -180

"Lillefty"
KC/Detroit Over 9.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

mets
braves

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
60-30 run on Bonus Plays ,7-1 last 8

Sunday RED SOX

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks
DUNKEL

LA Dodgers at Arizona

The Dodgers look to snap their three-game skid and build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 games as a road favorite between -150 and -200. LA is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-155). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 16
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 14.763; Cincinnati (Lehr) 15.732
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Under
Game 953-954: San Francisco at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.471; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.909
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over
Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Happ) 15.786; Atlanta (Vazquez) 16.617
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under
Game 957-958: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 14.904; Milwaukee (Looper) 14.511
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+105); Under
Game 959-960: San Diego at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 14.950; St. Louis (Lohse) 14.737
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+170); Over
Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 12.573; Cubs (Harden) 13.903
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-260); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-260); N/A
Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.818; Arizona (Petit) 14.583
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-155); Under
Game 965-966: Colorado at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.860; Florida (Vandenhurk) 15.703
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 967-968: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 15.020; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.293
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-230); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+210); Over
Game 969-970: LA Angels at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (O'Sullivan) 14.905; Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.212
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-120); Under
Game 971-972: Toronto at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rzepczynski) 14.012; Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.732
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Under
Game 973-974: Boston at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Tazawa) 16.443; Texas (Nippert) 15.763
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115); Under
Game 975-976: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 16.135; Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.017
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+150); Over
Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.844; Oakland (Cahill) 15.509
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Over
Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.701; Seattle (Fister) 15.885
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+175); Under
Game 981-982: Colorado at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 16.649; Florida (Volstad) 14.914
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks
DUNKEL

New York at Washington

The Liberty look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. New York is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 601-602: New York at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.214; Washington 110.687
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 138 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Play

lad/ariz under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SSG play for today

Cleveland v. Minnesota 2:10pm
PICK: Indians ML +140 (7*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. A's

Sunday, August 16th, 2009 2:05 PM EST.
Boston Red Sox (66-50) at Texas Rangers (65-50)
(R) Junichi Tazawa (1-1) vs. (R) Dustin Nippert (3-1)
Oddsmakers: Texas as a -125 home favorite with the total listed at 10½ 'over'.

Texas Rangers -125

Sunday, August 16th, 2009 2:15 PM EST.
San Diego Padres (49-69) at St. Louis Cardinals (66-52)
(L) Clayton Richard (2-0) vs. (R) Kyle Lohse (5-7)
Oddsmakers: St. Louis as a -180 home favorite with the total listed at 9 'over'.

St. Louis Cardinals -180

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

A.B.A.T.S.
Computer Plays
2-1 yesterday

Giants -110
LAA +105
Boston +113

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Los Angeles Angels +100
St. Louis Cardinals -180
New York Yankees -185

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Ray Toppin

MLB
CWS -128

CFL
Hamilton +6